It looks as if you have a growing relocalization chapter - that's great. However on the Post Carbon Cities website I just read an interview with the folks representing the City of Minnesota Sustainability Program.
Now, they are also looking at Peak Oil, according to this interview. However, they are promoting corn ethanol. A Relocalization Chapter in CA is working on a video that they will make available soon. It is called The Myths of Biofuels. Here is a link to the trailer - http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OriWEUW_TZI
We hope to use this video to help educate Ohioans. Our governor seems determined to turn Ohio into a huge corn plantation at the expense of other crops.
This article appeared on Alternet - "Ethanol Booms, Farmers Bust". http://www.alternet.org/environment/52073/
The comments by a Minnesota and an Ohio farmer that follow the article titled "the devastation" and "not only in minnesota" are quite revealing.
There is an effort in Washington, D.C. to stop the corn ethanol frenzy called the Ethanol Transparency Project. I know the President of the Agribusiness Council personally and am giving him as much support as I can. http://www.agribusinesscouncil.org/Ethanol.htm
Preparing for Peak Oil
A workshop at the 2006 Living Green Expo
2:00 p.m. Sunday, May 7, Minnesota State Fairgrounds
Peak oil brings oil depletion and energy scarcity.
To cope, we focus on using less energy,
meeting local needs locally, and the evolution of alternatives.
There are several compelling concerns underscoring the need for energy transition:
• Climate Change: reducing carbon emissions which cause global warming and abrupt climate change;
• National Security: reducing the risk of conflict brought by so many nations competing for worldwide fossil fuel resources;
• Sustainability: reducing our level of consumption and our ecological footprint.
There is one concern, however, that makes energy transition both a critical issue and a trigger for change:
• Peak oil, oil depletion, and energy scarcity.
Oil is a finite resource – there is only so much available. After peak, worldwide oil production will be on the downward slope. This diminishing supply is known as oil depletion. According to the Energy Information Administration of the U.S. Department of Energy, existing oil fields in Saudi Arabia sustain a decline rate of 5 percent to 12 percent. Many other major oil fields in the world (including Kuwait, Mexico, and the North Sea) are in decline as well.
This translates into higher prices, energy scarcity, and the need to transition away from petroleum. The economies of industrialized nations depend on oil for transportation fuels, heating fuels, and products made from petroleum feed-stock: cosmetics, food preservatives, plastics, herbicides and pesticides. That will need to change.
James Schlesinger described the need for transition in his testimony before the U.S. Senate Committee on Foreign Relations (“High Costs of Crude: The New Currency of Foreign Relations,� November 16, 2005):
In the decades ahead, we do not know precisely when, we shall reach
a point, a plateau or peak, beyond which we shall be unable further to
increase production of conventional oil worldwide. We need to
understand that problem now and to begin to prepare for that transition.
James Schlesinger served as Director of the CIA, Secretary of Defense (for President Richard Nixon), and the first Secretary of the Department of Energy (for President Jimmy Carter) during the energy crisis of the 1970’s.
A report by the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers put it this way:
World oil production is at or near its peak and current demand exceeds
the supply. Saudi Arabia is considered the bellweather nation for oil
production and has not increased production since April 2003. After
peak production, supply no longer meets demand, and prices and
competition increase. The proved reserve lifetime for world oil is about
41 years, most of this at a declining availability . . .
We must act now to develop the technology and infrastructure necessary
to transition to other energy sources and energy efficient technologies.
Policy changes, leap-ahead technology breakthroughs, culture changes,
and significant investment is requisite for this new energy future. Time is essential to enact these changes. The process should begin now.
Eileen Westervelt & Donald Fournier, “Energy Trends and Implications for U.S.
Army Installations.� U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, Engineer Research and Development Center, ERDC/CERL TN-05-1, September 2005.
The American public is becoming concerned about energy. Witness the latest polls.
A February 2006 survey conducted by the Pew Research Center found:
• 85% of Americans surveyed agree with the President’s assertion that America is addicted to oil – including 82% of both Republicans and Democrats along with 90% of independents;
• 82% want increased federal funding for research on wind, solar, and hydrogen technology.
A February 2006 survey prepared by Opinion Research Corporation for Civil Society Institute and 40MPG.org found:
• More than three-fourths of Americans (77%) agree that the President’s top priority for the rest of his term should be developing alternative or renewable energy sources and reducing U.S. dependence on foreign oil.
A CNN/USA Today/Gallop poll conducted in March 2006 found:
• 71% of those polled said Bush is not doing enough to solve the nation’s energy problems;
• 77% fear that the supply of oil will not be able to keep up with global demand.
But the challenge we face has broad implications for our society. Paulina de Gonzague described our challenge this way at the City of Ottawa’s Peak Oil Forum (“Crude Awakening: Preparing Ottawa – Gatineau for Peak Oil,� January 2006), “It’s like a chess game: once you know the rules, your mind becomes very creative about your opponent, which is the unsustainable way we’re now behaving.�
There are some basic tenets for our transition:
• We can no longer afford to use so much energy.
• We need to powerdown.
We need to evaluate the energy cost of the food we eat, the clothes we wear, our means of transportation, plans for growth in our community, and so on.
• We can no longer afford to depend on distant, remote resources.
• We need to meet local needs locally.
Cheap products shipped from China, Malaysia, and Singapore may not be cheap anymore. Fruits and vegetables shipped 1,500 miles from farms in California and Florida may become increasingly expensive. It may make sense to get more of what we need from the surrounding region, reducing transportation costs and ensuring supply. It may make sense to promote community self-reliance through community economies made up of community enterprises.
• We can no longer afford business as usual, doing things the way we
used to.
• We need to encourage the evolution of alternatives.
There is work being done on a wide range of alternatives, but nobody has connected the dots. We need to assemble the information on what works for our community. We need to evaluate what alternative systems deserve community support.
Perhaps the most crucial dimension of the post petroleum transition will be the manner of our acceptance. There is no quick fix. There is no readily available alternative that can do all the things that petroleum does for us. In a sense, we are being offered an opportunity to redesign our society and our way of life. The design challenge is one of sustainability by necessity. But the design challenge presents a great deal of promise. This will entail the coming together of communities for a common purpose.
A friend of mine attended an educational event for arborists last fall, and Don Shelby gave the keynote address on peak oil. He had the crowd riveted. He is going to have a series on the coming energy crisis on WCCO News April 10 - 14th.
ME3 has info on their website (http://www.me3.org/calendar.html). Look under "Project Energy." Here is a snippet from the ME3 website: "Don Shelby and WCCO TV take on the energy crisis with a series of groundbreaking reports entitled, Project Energy. For the week of April 10, WCCO 4 News at 10 p.m. will devote expansive coverage of the world’s dwindling supply of oil and efforts here in Minnesota to develop alternatives."
The WCCO website is http://wcco.com. As of this evening, they have not yet posted any information on the series, but I suspect they will have web info once the series starts.
Shelby interviews Matt Simmons, Ken Deffeyes, Rep. Roscoe Bartlett, President Carter, as well as local Energy activists Michael Noble and J Drake Hamilton.
For everyone who has a friend who rolls their eyes everytime you try to talk with them about energy issues, this is a chance for them to be informed from a "reliable source." ;)
So are there any groups in the Twin Cities area that actually meet in person and are dedicated to discussing and achieving sustainability and a comfortable life without our heavy, dependent usage on fossil fuels? Does anybody want to meet in person? It seems like more could be done if there was an actual group rather than an online collective of individuals.
Given that WCCO is going to be covering Peak Oil this week, it does seem this would be an ideal time to get a meeting organized.
A casual meet-up at a coffee shop or bar might be the easiest to arrange. Could model the meet-up like the weekly gatherings of lefties (Drinking Liberally) and conservatives (sorry, I don't know their moniker) that occur.
A number of people are in South Mpls/ Uptown. Any suggestions for time/place?
Minnesota lies at the confluence of two great ecoregions. The Great Lakes ecoregion, with 40 million people, contains nearly one-fifth of the world's fresh water. It has its own inland waterway through the St. Lawrence and the Great Lakes to the Port of Duluth. The North American Prairie ecoregion, with 33 million people, represents the most productive agricultural region the world has ever seen. It has its own inland waterway, the Mississippi River, from the Gulf of Mexico to the Port of St. Paul. If you had to pick a place to live during times of energy scarcity, this would be it.
Minnesota is a net-metering state: by law, any electricity produced by utility customers has to be purchased by the utility at the retail rate.
Minnesota already produces more ethanol than it can use. Say what you want about ethanol's energy efficiency. It takes more energy to produce electricity, too.
Then there are the local organizations:
- Clean Energy Resource Teams are working on regional strategies for renewable energy;
- Institute for Local Self-Reliance is working on the New Rules Project (relocalization) and the Carbohydrate Economy;
- Minnesotans for an Energy Efficient Economy (me3) is acknowledged nationally for its advocacy on renewables (Peak Oil was on the front page of the summer 2004 newsletter);
- RENew Northfield is a group of citizens who decided to make their community energy independent. They didn't stop with wind power - they have their own bio-diesel buyers' club.
And the list goes on.
I would like anyone's thoughts on whether they feel that the city of Minneapolis can be truly sustainable. The city has many awful things going for it - like being surrounded by energy gobbling suburbs - but there are opportunities.
Minneapolis now has a light-rail station and the ability to expand as time progresses. Minneapolis is also located in a very fertile region of that nation - and boasts other transportation methods nearby - the Mississippi and Minnesota Rivers. Organic food consumption has grown tremendously since the Cooperative Movement in the 1970s. Minneapolis is the only large city in the country that breaks even on its recycling program.
The city has the highest literacy and education in the nation. It boasts many parks and community gardens that could be utilized for food production either temporarily or long-term.
I don't believe that many aspects of the current city will survive the long emergenc - as in current living condition and infrastructure. But I believe that its progressive and intellectual soul will live on. It is one of the few major cities that could do better than many during the Long Emergency.
And where exactly in the Upper Midwest would anyone feel is the best location to be during the Long Emergency?
I agree that the Twin Cities have a number of favorable conditions for surviving Peak Oil. As you note, the most important, I think, is our tradition of progressive politics which hopefully will foster communitarian responses to the crisis.
Other than the transportation options you mentioned, I think it is worth noting that heavy rail connections for the Twin Cities also are still (somewhat) intact. These will become invaluable as we move into the post-peak period.
Some concerns I have:
I wonder what percent of residences are heated by natural gas? I have read (on theoildrum.com) that natural gas may peak more precipitiously than liquid fuels. I love winter, but without any other heating source for our home at present, -10 degreees will get a little nippy. I have thought about heating alternatives, but frankly I don't think there are many good ones. Passive solar design would be the best. But for the aging housing stock of the sprawling core there is little that can be done. Wood stoves? Where will the quarter million people find wood to burn after the first winter? (And I dread the impacts on the urban forests. Imagine the Mississippi River gorge denuded of trees for firewood.) The other variations of coal, corn and pellet stoves still would require transportation of a significant amount of fuel. Air quality would certainly suffer. Now on the bright side (cynicism alert), global climate change may provide us with more comfortable winters.
I worry the suburban development of the last quarter century has brought us an extensive infrastructure surrounding the metro core like the proverbial albatross. And that development has unfortunately eaten up some of the country's best farmland. In preparing locally, I would hope some of our efforts would be directed at sustaining/ improving food security. This would include looking at policies to protect current farmlands and nurture community-supported agriculture (CSA), farmers' markets, and community gardens. In Minneapolis, backyard chickens may be kept after submitting an application with the city. After TSHTF with Peak Oil, I would hope that livestock (birds and other small animal) raising would be liberalized. (Just have to wait for the current Bird Flu epidemic to pass by first...)
The economy of the Twin Cities will radically change, perhaps to more like 1890 than 1990? I can't imagine some of the high tech industries and research institutions surviving. What will happen to finance or medicine? On the other hand, our role in agriculture, rail transport, and river transit seems assured.
Where is the best location during the Long Emergency? I think it is located in the center of a network of friends/family with a spectrum of complementary survival skills.
August 22nd, 2007
Minnesota Sustainability Program
Hello from Central Ohio Relocalization Effort!
It looks as if you have a growing relocalization chapter - that's great. However on the Post Carbon Cities website I just read an interview with the folks representing the City of Minnesota Sustainability Program.
http://www.ci.minneapolis.mn.us/sustainability/
Now, they are also looking at Peak Oil, according to this interview. However, they are promoting corn ethanol. A Relocalization Chapter in CA is working on a video that they will make available soon. It is called The Myths of Biofuels. Here is a link to the trailer - http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OriWEUW_TZI
We hope to use this video to help educate Ohioans. Our governor seems determined to turn Ohio into a huge corn plantation at the expense of other crops.
This article appeared on Alternet - "Ethanol Booms, Farmers Bust".
http://www.alternet.org/environment/52073/
The comments by a Minnesota and an Ohio farmer that follow the article titled "the devastation" and "not only in minnesota" are quite revealing.
There is an effort in Washington, D.C. to stop the corn ethanol frenzy called the Ethanol Transparency Project. I know the President of the Agribusiness Council personally and am giving him as much support as I can.
http://www.agribusinesscouncil.org/Ethanol.htm
Best to all of you and your efforts in MN!
AL
June 14th, 2007
General request
Is there anyone from the Minneapolis area who regularly follows this forum? I'd like to make contact, please.
April 9th, 2006
Upcoming event
April 7th, 2006
Don Shelby of WCCO to Highlight Energy Issues
April 7th, 2006
Any groups in minneapolis?
April 9th, 2006
Meeting
March 17th, 2006
Could Minneapolis be sustainable?
December 23rd, 2005
Could Minneapolis be sustainable?
February 17th, 2006
Could Minneapolis be sustainable?