Sustainable Burlington

Is The World About To Be Running On Empty?

Toban Black — Sun, 25 May 2008 08:23:55 -0700

Sustainable Burlington

Energy Watchdog Warns Of Oil-Production Crunch

lifetree76 — Thu, 22 May 2008 12:46:58 -0700

Sustainable Burlington

Rising oil prices

Toban Black — Mon, 19 May 2008 12:11:35 -0700

Andy Rowell - "Oil Price 'May Hit $200 A Barrel'"

"Do you remember the days when oil was only $100? Although there has been speculation in recent days concerning the oil price, one of the most authoritative predictions so far has the price of crude oil at $200 within as little as six months.

The prediction by Goldman Sachs was made as benchmark US light crude passed the $123 mark for the first time. Surging demand was increasingly likely to create a “super-spike” past $200 in six months-to-two years’ time, said Goldman Sachs.

Oil prices have now risen by 25% in the last four months and 400% since 2001. Soaring global demand for oil is being led by China’s continuing economic boom and, to a lesser extent, by India’s rapid economic expansion.

Both are now increasingly competing with the US, the European Union and Japan for the lion’s share of global oil production."

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Toban Black
(http://tobanblack.net/blog/)

Sustainable Burlington

Tracking Saudi Oil From Space

lifetree76 — Tue, 06 May 2008 07:40:51 -0700

Sustainable Burlington

Gas prices

Toban Black — Tue, 06 May 2008 06:52:23 -0700

A YouTube video

"My response to an email circulating to '300 million people!' about boycotting major gas companies -

I'd just like to take a moment and comment on the flaw of this plan."...

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In this video Cassandra stresses how driving less is a way to save money while doing good at the same time.

Toban Black
(http://tobanblack.net/blog)

Sustainable Burlington

Home-grown food

Toban Black — Sun, 09 Mar 2008 16:37:51 -0700

Sharon Astyk on what we can gain from home-grown food -

"- Better Food - Fresher, better tasting, straight off the plant food money literally cannot buy!

- Better Health - More nutrition in just picked vegetables, grown without chemicals, while getting the kind of exercise many of us pay the gym for! Safety from industrial food contamination and toxic imports.

- Food Security - Food in your pots as prices get higher, supplies that can’t be disrupted by energy shortages, greater regional self-sufficiency. Millions of new gardeners can make sure that Americans don’t have to wait for distant food supplies to be trucked in - weeks after they are needed. Every gardener makes your region more secure.

- Higher Quality of Life - A more beautiful environment, stronger community, a better environment.

- More Money in your Pocket, More Time for What Matters - If you don’t need as much money for food, or to work as many hours to pay the grocery bills, you can use that money or take that time for what you really care about.

- The Chance to Serve Others and Create a More Just Society - Your [home garden] can be a strike against hunger and poverty - you can have food to donate, and the ability to teach others to fish (ok, garden), and thus, eat for a lifetime.

- Reduce Corporate Power and Improve Democracy - We cannot simultaneously deplore the power corporations have in our society and depend on them to supply our most basic necessities. If we stop giving our hard earned money to the corporations who undermine our democracy, they will be less powerful!

-Protect Against Climate Change - Humus rich soils, full of organic matter can sequester tons of carbon, quite literally - and grow the best vegetables. We reduce our carbon emissions when we don’t have to drive to the store or buy fossil fuel grown food.

- Reduce our Energy Dependence - Fossil fuels are used in agriculture, both industrial and industrial organic at every step, from the fertilizer in the ground to the refrigerated truck to plastic bag they come in. We can eliminated fossil fuels from almost every step when we grow our own.

- Create Peace - We’re at war for oil right now. If we can cut back on our need for the stuff, we don’t have to kill or die for it.

- Hope for the Future - In a changing world, the ability to grow food, to share and enjoy it, and to live in a healthy world full of beautiful gardens may be the best legacy we can our children and grandchildren."

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Toban Black
(http://tobanblack.net/blog/)

Sustainable Burlington

Oil depletion and other energy & carbon -related crises -- as well as associated interests

Toban Black — Wed, 27 Feb 2008 16:39:20 -0800

"I used to worry for my grandchildren. Now there is a fairly high probability that I will experience the more severe effects of climate change at first hand."
- Jeremy

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Matt Price (of Environmental Defence) and Allan Adam (of Athabasca Chipewyan First Nation) address issues surrounding the Albertan tar sands in an Ottawa Citizen op ed (February 21st)

Terrance Berg at DeSmogBlog - "Report: Alberta [Tar] Sands Most Destructive Project on Earth" (February 18th) -
Yet "approvals have already been given that will double the size of existing operations"

Joseph Romm on a Chinese liquid coal plant (February 21st) -
"Nothing is worse for the climate than large scale coal-to-liquids. Not even the tar sands."

A coal industry advertisement (in a February blog post)

Mark Trevelyan in Reuters - "Cheap, renewable energy years away: Shell" (February 21st) [via Sharon Astyk] -
"The world faces a doubling of energy demand by 2050 but renewable sources are still too expensive and will take decades to make a big impact, Royal Dutch Shell CEO Jeroen van der Veer said"

Andy Rowell - "[Tar] Sands Firms See Record Year" -
"The Canadian oil industry is poised for record year with 2008 profits rising 18 per cent to nearly $23 billion"

Ross Gelbspan and Kevin Grandia at DeSmogBlog on ExxonMobil profits from oil sales in 2007

Joseph Romm on corporate greenwashing--and "Beyond Petroleum" greenwashing, in particular (February 23rd)

Andy Rowell on how the company that dubbed itself Beyond Petroleum has invested in the Albertan tar sands (February 8th)

Richard Littlemore at DeSmogBlog - "Environment Canada's Muzzle Mandate Available for Viewing" (February 25th) -
"We now have a copy (attached) of the new Media Relations Protocol with which Environment Canada is muzzling its scientists."

Kevin Krolicki in Reuters - "GM [Vice Chairman] Stands by Calling Global Warming a 'Total Crock of Shit'" (February 23rd)

Tom Krisher in the Associated Press - "GM urges automakers to oppose greenhouse-gas limits" (February 9th) -
"General Motors Corp. CEO Rick Wagoner [has] urged a group of auto dealers ... to lobby against individual states trying to set their own limits on greenhouse-gas emissions.

Rachel Oliver for CNN - "Shipping's impact on the air" (January 20th) -
Shipping "emissions could be double the amount everyone previously believed."

A blog post about temperature measurement trends and global warming

Simon on a book with images that show impacts that global warming has had and might have on Spain -
The images show "how tourist paradises sinks down in the sea, how huge wildfires destroy the forests and how severe droughts turns everything to a desert.

Terrance Berg at DeSmogBlog - "First Nations to Alberta Government: Enough Already!" (February 25th) -
"A coalition of First Nations aboriginal groups in Northern Alberta has called for a freeze on all new [tar] sands development"

Simon Lewis in The Guardian - "Climate Change Is Killing Us. It’s Time for a Body Count" (February 26th) -
"Why are we relying on a single, limited, out-of-date study for our information on the numbers of people killed by climate change?"

Michael T. Klare at TomDispatch - "Something Had to Give: How Oil Burst the American Bubble" (February 1st) -
"Oil, in fact, has played a critical, if little commented upon, role in America’s current economic enfeeblement — and it will continue to drain the economy of wealth and vigor for years to come."

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We're in trouble.
Please do what you can--with others--to get us out of this mess!

If not you? Then who? If not now? When?

Please don't assume that others will sort all of this out.
That isn't happening.
Attention to these issues has been very superficial and watered down (as in talk about simple "things you can do," for instance--talk that implies that the ecological problems around us aren't very serious.) Again and again as I've tried to raise energy & carbon issues (such as global warming) through Post-Carbon London I've found that few people out there are very concerned or interested in these crises.

There's much to be done--and very, very soon. Please pitch in.

Battles are underway on many fronts--and, on the whole, they aren't going well. If you've been on the sidelines, please step into the fray.

Toban Black
(http://tobanblack.net/blog/)

Sustainable Burlington

"If you care about climate change forget about ‘saving the planet’"

Toban Black — Wed, 27 Feb 2008 16:34:35 -0800

George M. on why we shouldn't ask others to "save the planet" -

"One psychological response to climate change is to find language and images that create distance - to suggest that it will affect someone else in the future. So the talk and images are of ‘climate’ not ‘weather’, polar bears not hedgehogs, African children not our own.

‘The Planet’ is about as distant as one can get - I am not being called on to save my family, my community, my country, my world or even my Earth. It is The Planet - a lump of cold rock seen from space. I’ll be honest - I don’t give a damn about ‘The Planet’ - it means nothing to me."

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George raises other noteworthy points in the rest of his blog post, which is worth reading.

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A related issue (which I've raised here--albeit without editing my comment carefully enough) -

People often imply that global warming will only harm arctic wildlife--and particularly polar bears.
That view is conveyed by these protestors, for instance:
http://www.flickr.com/photos/isisdc/sets/72157602622773240/
http://www.indiescribe.com/2008/02/greenpeace-prot.html
http://www.desmogblog.com/this-oil-sands-campaign-could-show-up-anywhere-in-alberta

How many people will commit to dramatically restructuring their lives and our society in order to save polar bears (and penguins and seals--not to mention less familiar arctic wildlife)?
Very few of us will do so -- and the blog post exerpt above indicates why this is the case. Although it's downright tragic that we are wiping out polar bears and other animals in the arctic, most people are not apt to care much about these distant creatures.

As usual, a radical message--in this case, about how we need to dramatically reshape our way of life in response to global warming--has been watered down.

The phrase "climate change" likewise is a less threatening alternative to talk about "global warming" (or, to be more precise, "global warming and related climate changes.") And neither of these terms are as dramatic as Joseph Romm's phrase "hell and high water," which hasn't caught on (yet). People aren't about to flock to this more frightening way of framing global warming, and George's post--the one quoted above--sheds light on this as well.

Toban Black
(http://tobanblack.net/blog/)

Carp Ridge Ecowellness Centre (CREWC)

Unsafe at Any Price ...

Toban Black — Wed, 20 Feb 2008 08:51:53 -0800

Sustainable Burlington

The future is food

Toban Black — Fri, 15 Feb 2008 06:37:16 -0800

Sustainable Burlington

Confessing your carbon sins

Toban Black — Sun, 27 Jan 2008 19:44:52 -0800

Sustainable Burlington

Will a carbon tax actually reduce emissions?

Toban Black — Sat, 26 Jan 2008 04:30:06 -0800

Sustainable Burlington

Versatile bicycle parts

Toban Black — Sat, 26 Jan 2008 04:16:31 -0800

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=98rXCoEk6vE
http://www.bikeforest.com/?p=77
http://www.blogto.com/arts/2007/12/vidto_pedal_power_vs_toronto_police/
http://www.ecofriend.org/images/bicytaxi.jpg

Bike machines can be semi-motorized, they can be enclosed (rather than leaving riders exposed to the wind and what not), and they can be collaboratively peddled; we have a lot of options.

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Update -
Related blog posts -
"The Twike"
"Velomobiles"

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Toban Black
(http://tobanblack.net/blog/)

Carp Ridge Ecowellness Centre (CREWC)

Ontario to cut down clothesline bans

Toban Black — Tue, 15 Jan 2008 05:17:15 -0800

Sustainable Burlington

PCT makes The Star! Way to go folks! (A request for media outreach ideas.)

prof — Sun, 13 Jan 2008 13:44:46 -0800

Congratulations to Post Carbon Toronto, and especially Dr Lemon, for getting the ear of Tyler Hamilton, the Star's "Energy Reporter". (I wonder how long they've had one of those?) His article is in the Business section for Jan 3, 2008, at http://www.thestar.com/article/290582.

Calling from Montreal, I would like to see a comparable article produced here, and would be grateful for any tips on contacting and/or addressing the media. I believe the time is ripe and many editors may be receptive to addressing the problem... and this may be key to getting it onto the public agenda.

I had a student who managed to get a short piece in the Montreal Mirror, which was helped by the fact that we were having a screening of The End of Suburbia in a public forum. I would appreciate hearing others' experiences of getting press attention, perhaps to build a list of tactics from which others may draw.

Again, congratulations and gratitude.

Shane Mulligan
Montreal

Post Carbon Montreal

Canadian oil exports and imports

Toban Black — Sat, 12 Jan 2008 16:36:17 -0800

Some information that I received yesterday from the Council of Canadians via a local chapter mailing list:

About economic manifestations of oil supply shortages -

According to an energy report released today by CIBC World Markets, Canadians should be prepared to soon start paying $1.50 a litre for gasoline. CIBC chief economist Jeffrey Rubin says, 'Canadians should brace for $1.50 litre gas prices in the near future as global oil supply will increasingly have trouble keeping pace with demand.' Just last week the Globe and Mail was reporting that, 'Canadians should brace for gas prices above $1.30 a litre this summer and rising costs for food, transportation and many other services if oil stays at $100 (US) a barrel, industry analysts say.'

On Canadian subordination under U.S. power, and international sources of oil imported into Canada -

"Canada imports 58 percent of the oil we consume. By region, about 40 percent of the oil used in Ontario is imported, while about 90 percent of the oil used in Quebec and the Atlantic provinces is imported. Approximately 25 percent of this oil comes from the unstable regions of the Middle East or North Africa. Yet Canada's oil exports to the United States are steadily growing. In 2004, 70 percent of Canada's [extracted oil] went to the United States. In 1998 the figure was 60 percent. In 1990 the figure was 50 percent.

As Joanne C points out, Canadian oil is used to help fuel American imperialism.

On how those oil exports to the U.S. relate to the Canadian economy -

"TD Bank chief economist Don Drummond was recently quoted in the Ottawa Citizen saying, 'On balance, higher oil prices are slightly positive for Canada with the emphasis on slight...We are a net exporter of oil, so in that sense, it would be a positive, but then you've got the damage to the US economy which mitigates that positive benefit'

A more important question is - 'How many people receive much of those oil export revenues anyway?'

The Globe and Mail 'Ready for gas at $1.50 a litre?' can be read at http://ctv2.theglobeandmail.com/servlet/story/RTGAM.20080110.wcibcgasstaff0110/business/Business/businessBN/ctv-business.

The complete CIBC World Markets report is available at http://research.cibcwm.com/economic_public/download/occtrept65pdf, although it appears to be temporarily unavailable.

Toban Black
(http://tobanblack.net/blog/)

Carp Ridge Ecowellness Centre (CREWC)

Different means and approaches

Toban Black — Wed, 09 Jan 2008 16:01:17 -0800

Kurt Cobb on services, assumptions, and oil depletion -

"Unfortunately, most people, especially those in North America, equate their cars with transportation. They may also equate air-conditioners with a cool environment in summer. And, they may unconsciously think of grocery store shelves as the point of origin for their food. To simply tell them that all of this is coming to an end because it is unsustainable seems to imply that every service they depend on for mobility, comfort and nutrition will abruptly disappear. People either won't believe it or they'll say that the situation as described seems hopeless.

But neither the need for these services nor the means to provide them will disappear. Rather the mode in which they are offered and the cleverness and amount of effort needed to get them will change. The challenge then is to get people to think not about such notions as electric cars, but rather about how to get the mobility they want, say, through public transportation, passenger rail, cycling and even walking. They need to be led to contemplate how they can keep their homes and offices and themselves cool in ways other than turning on their air-conditioners. They need to be encouraged to think about alternatives to getting the food they need such as farmers' markets, local farms, and home or community gardens. In short, they need to participate in the response. All of this seems plainly obvious. The point then is this: It is only half a discussion to talk about the things we'll have to give up after peak oil and not about the ways in which we'll obtain the services those things represent."

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Toban Black
(http://tobanblack.net/blog/)

Carp Ridge Ecowellness Centre (CREWC)

Another blog

Toban Black — Wed, 09 Jan 2008 15:58:02 -0800

Hi everyone,

I've started another weblog -
http://tobanblack.net/blog/

In the future I'll still be posting to Relocalize.net though. Most of what I post here will be from the other weblog outside of Relocalize.net, though I'll make minor changes to reflect the context. Off of Relocalize.net I wouldn't take an understanding of what localization is for granted, so I would tend to add in more explanation when bringing up that concept.

At the blog outside of Relocalize.net I'll be posting about more than localization (as it is approached on this web site) and about fossil fuel issues. Right now my blog categories are - Ecology: Energy and carbon, Ecology: Other, Political Economy, Localization, Globalizing, Collectivism, Individualism, Media, Transportation, and Food.
Those issues are all inter-related.

Sustainable Burlington

Canada missing golden opportunity in Bali

Toban Black — Tue, 25 Dec 2007 14:04:37 -0800

Carp Ridge Ecowellness Centre (CREWC)

Shock Doctrine

grahamia — Fri, 21 Dec 2007 17:39:22 -0800

Richard Heinberg, Oct 2007, "Individuals and families should take to heart the advice given prior to every commercial airline flight: “Secure your oxygen mask before helping others.” In other words, see to your own survival prospects first. This is not necessarily selfish behavior: communities and nations in which individual members are prepared and relatively self-sufficient will fare much better than those in which everyone is dependent and unequipped. If no one is prepared, who can teach others what to do? Learn the life-skills of the pre-fossil-fuel era; know how to use and repair hand tools; know where your water comes from and how to compost wastes; grow food."

Now surf to http://www.naomiklein.org/shock-doctrine/short-film to watch the quickest expose of modern conservative economics (neo-con) and start waking up. As Klein says, getting informed in the only way to protect ourselves from the systemic shock treatments being planned, aided or abetted by the economic elites.

yes.

Ian

Sustainable Burlington

Weapons Investment 100x more than Renewable Energy, says bankers

grahamia — Fri, 21 Dec 2007 08:41:33 -0800

Why aren't the big investment banks investing more money in renewable energy?
(If you want to check out sources, you'll have to go to the URL original at the end of the article.)

By Matt Savinar, posted 12/15/2007
The large investment banks have concluded that renewable energy will never comprise more than a very small fraction of the world's total energy profile. They have also realized the world is plunging into an era of oil wars. Thus they are disproportionately moving their money into new weapons technologies over new energy technologies. Journalist Naomi Klein explains:
Anyone tired of lousy news from the markets should talk to Douglas Lloyd, a director of Venture Business Research, which tracks trends in venture capitalism. "I expect investment activity in this sector to remain buoyant," he said recently. Lloyd's bouncy mood was inspired by the money that is gushing into private security and defence companies. He added: "I also see this as a more attractive sector, as many do, than clean energy."

Got that? If you are looking for a sure bet in a new growth market, then sell solar and buy surveillance: forget wind, buy weapons. This observation - coming from an executive who is trusted by such clients as Goldman Sachs and Marsh & McLennan - deserves particular attention . . .

According to Lloyd, the really big money - despite all the government incentives - is turning away from clean-energy technologies, and is banking instead on gadgets that promise to seal wealthy countries and individuals into hi-tech fortresses. To put it simply, in the world of venture capitalism, there has been a race going on between greens on the one hand, and guns and garrisons on the other - and the guns and garrisons are winning. Source

To be perfectly clear: the investment banks are investing considerable amounts in new energy technologies. It's just that they are investing 100 times as much in new weapons technologies which will be used to fight over the world's diminishing supply of fossil fuels. The ratio between investment in the two sectors is the key point here: while the global market for renewable energy measures in the tens of billions, the (combined) global markets for oil and arms measures over $3 trillion. Furthermore, as fast as the market for new energy technologies is growing, the market for new weapons technologies is growing by several orders of magnitude faster.
Can't the investment banks see that these strategies will plunge the world into massive oil wars and total economic collapse?
Most of the investment banks' strategies - including the strategy to invest more in weapons technologies than in alternative energy technologies - are guided/informed by extremely sophisticated computer programs. For all intents and purposes, these programs make the decisions for the traders. Just how powerful are the programs? According to a December 2007 article in the San Francisco Chronicle, the newest generation of super-computers being used by Wall Street investment houses will soon be "peta-scale":
Sometime next year, developers will boot up the next generation of supercomputers, machines whose vast increases in processing power will accelerate the transformation of the scientific method, experts say. The first "petascale" supercomputer will be capable of 1,000 trillion calculations per second.

"The difficulty in building the machines is mind-boggling," said Mark Seager, assistant department head for computing technology at Lawrence Livermore. "But the scientific results that we can get out of them are also mind-boggling . . ."

Petascale computers are also expected to lead to more potent models for Wall Street to calculate risk and predict the fate of financial instruments . . . Source
A June 2007 Bloomberg article entitled "The Ultmate Money Machine" confirms that the world's most powerful investment consortiums are using the latest generation(s) of super-computers to guide their investment strategies:
For decades, investment banks and hedge fund firm computers to uncover relationships in the markets and exploit them. Today, computer-guided trading has reached levels undreamed of a decade ago. A third of all U.S. stock trades in 2006 were driven by automatic programs, or algorithms. By 2010, that figure will reach 50 percent . . . Rex Macey, director of equity management at Wilmington Trust Corp. says computers can mine data and see relationships that humans can’t. Source
Independent journalist Michael Ruppert gives a more in-depth explanation of how these modeling programs work:
. . . [this sort of software] combines datamining and artificial intelligence . . . Datamining is a technique for detecting and extracting meaningful patterns hidden within vast quantities of apparently meaningless data. Programs based on datamining are powerful analytical tools; finding meaningful patterns in an ocean of information is very useful. But when such a tool is driven by a high-caliber artificial intelligence core, its power gets spooky. The datamining capability becomes a smart search tool of the AI program, and the system begins to learn.

In recent decades, great strides have been made by the mutually fertile disciplines of mathematics, computer science, and neuroscience. Among the results has been a new discipline called cognitive neuroscience, which constitutes a powerful new understanding of the way the human brain works. This has applications so practical that they have reshaped our world. "Neural Network" programming is modeled on the computational techniques used by the human brain - an electrochemical computer that uses neurons instead of semiconductors; the firing or non-firing of neurons instead of ones and zeros.

With neural networking, software has become much smarter than it had been. Now it can perform multiple, related operations at the same time through parallel processing; now it can learn from setbacks, and use genetic algorithms to evolve its way out of limitations. This kind of computational power supports an inference engine that can digest the mined data into results that predictive for imminent and, to some degree, even middle -term outcomes. It extrapolates from current trends in a more than quantitative way.

Conventional electronic surveillance finds patterns in the data of other instruments; [this software] can exploit the patterns it detects and extrapolate future probabilities . . . Source
According to a 2007 UK Register article, the Pentagon and the Department of Homeland Security now possess computer programs capable of modeling the decision making processes of financial institutions, media outlets, and even the entire human population (all 6.6 billion of us) right down to individuals:
. . . the US Department of Defense may already be creating a copy of you in an alternate reality to see how long you can go without food or water, or how you will respond to televised propaganda.

Called the Sentient World Simulation (SWS), the program replicates financial institutions, utilities, media outlets, and street corner shops. By applying theories of economics and human psychology, its developers believe they can predict how individuals and mobs will respond to various stressors.

Yank a country's water supply. Stage a military coup. SWS will tell you what happens next. Homeland Security is already using SWS to simulate crises on the US mainland. Source
The Bottom Line:

The point of all this is that the top investment banks' strategies to disproportionately invest in weapons technologies over new energy technologies has not been made "willy-nilly." Quite the contrary, these strategies have been informed by computer programs of almost unimaginable power.

The good news is that as the price of oil continues to increases, the total amount of money invested renewable energy will also likely increase. The bad news, however, is that the ratio of money invested in renewable energy as compared to weapons technology is unlikely to improve as the higher the price of oil goes, the more demand there will be for weapons to fight large scale oil-wars.

On a related note, even if solar, wind, and other green alternatives could replace oil, we still wouldn't escape the evil clutches of so called "Big Oil." The biggest maker of solar panels is British Petroleum with Shell not too far behind. Similarly, the second biggest maker of wind turbines is General Electric, who obtained their wind turbine business from that stalwart of corporate social responsibility, Enron. Source As these examples illustrate, the notion that "Big Oil is scared of the renewable energy market!" is silly. "Big Oil" already owns the renewable energy market. Source
http://www.lifeaftertheoilcrash.net/Archives2007/BanksComputers.html

Sustainable Burlington

China’s Not Alone in Environmental Crisis

Toban Black — Fri, 21 Dec 2007 07:37:54 -0800

Sustainable Burlington

Franchises

Toban Black — Fri, 21 Dec 2007 07:29:12 -0800

Franchises take away and obstruct localization, and Wal-Mart is at the forefront of this franchising and the anti-localization that it entails. The documentary Wal-Mart: The High Cost of Low Price addresses these issues (among others). So does the book Big-Box Swindle, which I recommend (even though I found the author's emphasis on buying from more local and more independent businesses to be insufficient to say the least; feeble strategies like that won't do).

Wal-Mart is also closely tied to the energy demands of 'developing' countries like China. Here's a recent article that addresses how Chinese natural material demands are tied to the First 'World': "China’s Not Alone in Environmental Crisis" (Unfortunately, the author doesn't take oil and gas depletion into account, but I'm sure you can see how the article relates to energy reserve issues.)

Of course, vast quantities of carbon energy are also burned up as products and materials are transported around the world...
for now--while supplies last.

Correction - This post is about franchises and chains rather than just franchises

Carp Ridge Ecowellness Centre (CREWC)

... So far the Bali deal is worse than Kyoto

Toban Black — Thu, 20 Dec 2007 15:48:08 -0800

Carp Ridge Ecowellness Centre (CREWC)

Outraged at Canada's participation at the UN Climate Conference in Bali?

Shelby Tay — Fri, 14 Dec 2007 10:26:56 -0800

This is an ad running in Ottawa and Calgary papers put out by the Avaaz team (see below).
If you haven't signed this petition yet, there's still a few hours left - go to http://www.avaaz.org/en/another_canadian_climate_crime/9.php?cl=46187661

Here are some articles reporting on Canada's participation at the UN talks in Bali:
http://www.theglobeandmail.com/servlet/story/LAC.20071212.BALIMAIN12/TPS...
http://www.thestar.com/columnists/article/285171

Here is a message from Avaaz about the petition (Dec13/07):

Dear friends,

Wow - on Tuesday we aimed to get 25,000 Canadians to join the emergency call to Prime Minister Harper to stop blocking the crucial UN climate change talks in Bali - and we hit that target in just 18 hours!! In two days, 71,187 of us have signed the petition, and rising fast [it's now at 98, 607]- one of the largest online petitions in Canadian history!

The petition ads are running in papers tomorrow, including the Ottawa Citizen and the Calgary Sun. At the Bali summit, it is touch and go - with almost the entire world vs. Canada and the US over whether to accept targets on harmful carbon emissions. The draft agreement changes every hour, with carbon targets dropping in and out. We now have just over 24 hours left for an all-out push to get Harper to do the right thing. Let's ramp it up and hit 100,000 voices by Friday! If you haven't yet, please click below to sign up, see our ad, and then forward this email to everyone you know:

http://www.avaaz.org/en/another_canadian_climate_crime/9.php

Let's make sure that experts never again give Canada the "fossil" award for worst country in the world on climate change! If you've already told your friends and family about the petition, try calling Prime Minister Harper's office directly at 613 992 4211, or calling the House of Commons toll free on 1 (866) 599-4999 to talk to your MP about getting Parliament to act on this issue. Harper leads a minority government, he shouldn't be able to get away with ignoring the large majority of us who want real action on climate change.

Our incredible momentum is a wonderful and powerful statement about the Canada we all love and want to see - one that does the right thing in the world, whose flag stands for people and principles -- not the short term profits of big oil corporations. Let's forward this email round, blog this issue, talk about it at the dinner table and at work, and get an emergency people-powered movement going that reaches 100,000 by tomorrow!

With hope,

Ricken and the Avaaz team

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ABOUT AVAAZ
Avaaz.org is an independent, not-for-profit global campaigning organization that works to ensure that the views and values of the world's people inform global decision-making. (Avaaz means "voice" in many languages.) Avaaz receives no money from governments or corporations, and is staffed by a global team based in London, New York, Paris, Washington DC, Geneva, and Rio de Janeiro.

Vancouver Area Relocalisation Network

Luz: Girl of the Knowing

Toban Black — Fri, 14 Dec 2007 06:01:19 -0800

Part of Luz: Girl of the Knowing - Episode 4 by Claudia Dávila ("Fran") (in Toronto)

Claudia's work is important because she's grappling with oil & gas depletion in a fresh way -- a way that may reach people who haven't connected with other presentations (e.g. The End of Suburbia, e.g. Kunstler's blog, etc).

Of course, the comic is only one approach to the future that might come and how we might respond to it. We can't know what will happen, and there are several strategies and visions out there. Claudia's take is a relatively positive one, I think. She sure isn't advocating a Mad Max or Night of the Living Dead last-one-standing and/or bunker-building vision. So the comic doesn't only put peak oil and gas issues on the table in a new way; it's also a constructive approach.

Carp Ridge Ecowellness Centre (CREWC)

Social and environmental problems and opportunities

Toban Black — Mon, 10 Dec 2007 09:35:09 -0800

A version of a speech given at the December 8th International Demonstration on Climate Change in London. This version is much longer and slightly edited. I’ve also added web links, as well as reading and viewing recommendations.

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Hello everyone,
My name is Toban, and I’m part of Post-Carbon London, a group that I’ll be telling you about. I’m also a graduate student. I research and write about environmental problems—-specifically the social causes of these. I’m speaking to you now to try to offer you some insight. I’ll begin by discussing the energy issues Post-Carbon London addresses.

Energy Issues

When we use fossil fuels—-in cars, in power plants, and elsewhere—-we contribute to global warming and other climate changes. Global warming is, to say the least, a great threat. We are creating more violent storms (like Hurricane Katrina). There are many tragedies and catastrophes on the horizon if we can’t stop global warming.

Post-Carbon London challenges fossil fuel dependency, which is behind global warming. We concentrate on carbon energy dependency in London in particular. We do this in response to global warming as well as a closely related problem:
Post-Carbon London also highlights how more affordable and relatively accessible supplies of oil and gas are rapidly being used up. I’m sure you know that there aren’t endless supplies of oil and gas in the ground. What few people realize, though, is that we have been exhausting the more readily available and inexpensive supplies of these fuels.

This is why Middle Eastern oil imports are more and more important, and this is why so much of Canadian supplies are sent to the United States. Americans had burned through more than half of their oil by the 1970s. Since then United States oil outputs have been dropping. Now U.S. companies and the U.S. federal government are leading an international scramble to claim what’s left of worldwide oil supplies. Of course, the largest reserves of this oil are in and around the Persian Gulf. As fossil fuels outside this area in and around the Gulf are being used up more rapidly, the Middle East is being made more and more internationally significant. I mention these international trends to explain fossil fuel depletion, but Post-Carbon London focuses on the London area—specifically on local fossil fuel dependency, so usually we don’t address particular sources of oil.

Natural gas sources, on the other hand, are much more of a local issue-—because it’s far more difficult to transport these fuels. So nearby gas supplies are crucial. This means that regional supplies (from around southern Ontario, in our case) are required for local natural gas heating and electricity. Most likely very little of the natural gas in and around the Persian Gulf will be brought here. And I’m sorry to say that it looks like we shouldn’t expect the natural gas supplies around London to hold out for long—much as we can’t count on international oil supplies.

What I’m saying is that oil and gas supplies will rapidly dry up—more and more-—as the cost of these fuels will skyrocket. This problem is often referred to as “peak oil” (a phrase that doesn’t take natural gas into account). What I’m telling you about “peak oil” and gas isn’t just a theory. As I’ve said, “peak oil” already happened at a national level in the United States during the 1970s, when U.S. oil outputs began to fall (which is why sociopolitical developments at the time in the Middle East had such an impact on North American oil prices—-because so much U.S. oil had been used up, so there was demand for the Middle Eastern oil that was not available.)

So what consequences are likely given diminishing supplies of oil and gas fossil fuels?
Since most people don’t think much about how we use oil and gas, I’ll say more about this. Natural gas is often used to heat homes and other buildings; it’s also an important source of the electricity that is used to power factory machinery and other equipment. And we make fertilizers with natural gas. Without oil we generally can’t run cars, airplanes, ocean freighters, and other vehicles—-some of which are used to ship goods to stores like Wal-Mart and Loblaws. Farm equipment and other oil-fuelled machines also won't be usable. And plastics, as well as many other products that we take for granted, are made with fossil fuel chemicals.

Basically, society as we know it cannot function without fossil fuels. Yet we’re rapidly burning through oil and gas supplies anyway. As we do this we are bringing global warming down on our heads. We are driving ourselves towards outright social breakdown—partly because we won’t be able to fuel our society. Given how our economy is set up, reduced access to oil and gas will mean recession, if not depression, if not eventual economic collapse as currencies become worthless. No one knows the future, but it’s clear that—-right now—-we’re headed for a rocky one.

Alternative and unconventional sources of energy, alone, are far from enough to allow us to escape this future. These energy sources are either too expensive (as with solar panels) or they don’t offer enough energy (as in the case of ethanol; the same is true of the Albertan tar sands, which a lot of energy must be put into—-along with dwindling water supplies—-before energy can be taken out.)

Coal is an option, but it’s one that is environmentally devastating. (So-called 'clean coal' technologies may prove to be ineffective, and they are not being developed and used to any significant extent.)

There’s also nuclear energy, which is very controversial. Post-Carbon London rejects nuclear power, and for good reasons. One grounds for not depending on it—and this is one that you probably don’t know—is that uranium supplies are limited. As with fossil fuels, if we continue to use uranium, it will be made increasingly less affordable and available.

Limited materials also are needed to produce and maintain renewable energy technologies (such as wind turbines).

As for energy efficiency improvements, these have lagged well beyond rising energy demands. There's no reason to believe that this will change if demands continue to rise. Even if we can level off our energy demands, there are only so many energy efficiency improvements that we can find and create.

Beyond Energy Issues

Ultimately, all energy demands must be drastically cut back to tackle oil and gas depletion as well as global warming. These are only two of many broader environmental problems, however. I now will discuss others (by stepping outside of Post-Carbon London for a moment). We are running out of fresh water supplies; species are dieing off more quickly than most of you would ever believe; pollution is pretty much everywhere, including our bodies; we are destroying top soil, which we need to grow food; somehow we also are killing off bees, which pollinate plants. This list is a taste of the devastation that we are spreading across the planet. We may well see mass starvation—-even in Canada—-if we aren’t able to change our course. It’s not pretty, but we are headed toward social breakdown.

This is an upsetting prospect, but it comes with opportunities. Even without ecological problems we should want to change our society. Otherwise, we’ll continue to live in a world where automobile fatalities are a leading form of violent death; people often are lost in TV and computer screens; advertising is difficult to avoid; obesity and body image obsessions are common; and females are regularly made into sex objects. These are merely examples,
and conditions are far worse further from home, where there is war, shanty towns, famine, and sweatshop labour—among other appalling conditions.
We can do so much better. Why settle for these social conditions?

One way or another, our society has to change. We’ll either accomplish this voluntarily—by bringing our society back into balance with nature—or it will fall apart (due to a lack of fuel; or because of the various other problems we are creating).
Humanity may not survive.
If we choose to make our society environmentally sound before it crumbles before our eyes, we can achieve so much more at the same time. We can work toward equality, peace, and genuine democracy. In short, we can form vibrant, healthy community relationships.

In fact, if we don't accomplish this, we'll fail to confront the environmental crises around and ahead of us.

A quotation will help me to explain how these goals are connected to confronting the environmental problems that we are creating. Maurice Strong has said that “the environment isn’t just an issue, something to be fixed while everything else remains the same.”

You see everything in this world either is from nature or it is nature. Food, clothing, electricity, and electronics are all extracted from nature. An ecologically sound society must have environmentally-friendly education, professions, medicine, community, and culture. Ultimately, an entire society must be brought into balance with nature. If it is to survive—let alone flourish—our ecologically unsound society must be changed from the ground up. These changes must involve greater attention to the future, while transcending self-interests as well as prevailing currents that drive people to place money and profit before all else—-
to give a few examples of what must change.

Sweeping changes like these cannot be accomplished by them—-the politicians, the corporate executives, the bureaucrats, and other distant figures at international climate negotiations, and elsewhere. They are only human, and they have vested interests in society as we know it. If they challenge the status quo too much, their careers will not last. There are rewards for conformity (-- usually).
Besides, only so much can be achieved through policies and through tinkering with product manufacturing (by, for instance, changing the materials that are used to make toilet paper and other products).

They can’t fix environmental problems on their own, and neither can you. Alone, you can’t accomplish much. Isolated consumption, isolated recycling, and isolated voting won’t amount to much.
If you must focus on those approaches, at least find ways to draw others into what you’re doing. Make proactive change contagious…
because what matters is us—-what we do about how our whole society is set up. Although it’s important to be the change that you want to see in the world, there won’t be a great deal of constructive change if we don’t work together.

Here are some examples of ways that we might constructively remake our society; we could:
• Dramatically improve bus and train transportation
• Arrange for more communal forms of housing
• Eliminate fossil fuel and automobile subsidies
• Subsidize greener products (such as bicycles and mopeds)
• Set up smaller shops and workplaces closer to home
• Establish many more community composting and community gardens
• Set aside far more bicycle trail space

To bring about changes like these anytime soon we’ll have to act together, and we’ll have to find ways to make it attractive and relatively easy for people to join us.
It can be done.

But this proactive change won’t happen if people continue to be so disengaged from public life. We are being led toward disasters, and society will continue on this course if we don’t intervene. There is a need for far more active participation in managing our collective affairs. In other words, there is a need for genuine democracy.

Don’t let the mind-numbing normality all around us fool you…
We are on the brink of major changes. The direction of these changes will depend on what we do next…
and on what we don’t do.

I like to think that Post-Carbon London can contribute to the changes that I’ve started to describe here, but re-making society from the ground up will require much more than attention to fossil fuel dependency, energy demands, and carbon emissions. These and other ecological problems are issues to rally around, but to do that we will have to see well beyond environmental degradation.
To avoid many related calamities that lie ahead, and to pursue numerous interconnected opportunities for constructive change, we must see beyond the narrow constraints that are being imposed on our thoughts and actions.

The long-term vitality of our communities is at stake.

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I recommend that you read the speech that Cory Morningstar—the president of the local chapter of the Council of Canadians—read at the December 8th demonstration. The writing that I've posted above addresses many of the issues that Cory also covered in her speech. The two pieces fit together well.

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Viewing recommendations

• Crude Impact
• Escape From Suburbia
• The End of Suburbia

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Reading recommendations

Constructive social change
• International Forum on Globalization - Alternatives to Economic Globalization: A Better World Is Possible (specifically the chapters about “Alternative Operating Systems”)
• Julian Darley, David Room, and Celine Rich - Relocalize Now!: Getting Ready for Climate Change and the End of Cheap Oil

Oil and gas depletion
• Richard Heinberg – The Party’s Over
• Richard Heinberg – PowerDown
• Julian Darley – High Noon for Natural Gas

Global warming
• Joseph Romm - Hell and High Water
• Ross Gelbspan - Boiling Point

Related problems and opportunities
• Heather Menzies – No Time

Carp Ridge Ecowellness Centre (CREWC)